Hviterusslands befolkning står overfor avgjørende og mulig blodige dager

Hviterusslands president Aleksandr Lukasjenko står nå i sin verste krise etter 26 år som «Europas siste diktator», skriver oberstløytnant Geir Hågen Karlsen.

People shout as they hold a poster reading 'Belarusians, you are great!' during a protest rally against police violence during recent rallies of opposition supporters, who accuse strongman Alexander Lukashenko of falsifying the polls in the presidential election, in Minsk on August 13, 2020. - Thousands of protesters formed human chains and marched in Belarus on August 13, 2020, in a growing wave of peaceful demonstrations over President Alexander Lukashenko's disputed re-election and an ensuing brutal police crackdown. Belarusian President has ordered an investigation into the mass detention of protesters and more than 1,000 have been freed, a senior politician said on August 13. (Photo by Sergei GAPON / AFP) Foto: Sergei Gapon
People shout as they hold a poster reading "Belarusians, you are great!" during a protest rally against police violence during recent rallies of opposition supporters, who accuse strongman Alexander Lukashenko of falsifying the polls in the presidential election, in Minsk on August 13, 2020. - Thousands of protesters formed human chains and marched in Belarus on August 13, 2020, in a growing wave of peaceful demonstrations over President Alexander Lukashenko's disputed re-election and an ensuing brutal police crackdown. Belarusian President has ordered an investigation into the mass detention of protesters and more than 1,000 have been freed, a senior politician said on August 13. (Photo by Sergei GAPON / AFP) Foto: Sergei Gapon
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Opprøret vokser etter nok et manipulert valg, og det er reell fare for omveltning i landet 30 år etter resten av Øst-Europa.Lukasjenko har tre hovedalternativer, samarbeid, uthaling, eller slå ned opprøret.Han står også overfor tre hovedaktører. Befolkningen, som i større og større grad støtter opposisjonen. Russland, som vil sikre seg fortsatt innflytelse og en rimelig grad av stabilitet, og som vil gå svært langt for å hindre at Hviterussland snur seg mot vesten slik Ukraina h

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